Path to €1M ARR
The bridge round funds the acceleration from our Budget trajectory (conservative, organic) to our Model trajectory (€1M ARR EoY 2026). Both scenarios are derived from internal financial planning. The gap between them is what the bridge capital activates.
The two trajectories side by side
- EoP MRR Dec 2026: €33,675
- Net Revenue 2026: €768,531
- Total clients EoY: 19
- 5 new recurrent clients in 2026
- EBITDA 2026: -€2.59M
- EoP MRR Dec 2026: €84,188
- Net Revenue 2026: €1,252,459
- Clinical Practice revenue: €670,679
- Clinical Research revenue: €581,781
- EBITDA 2026: -€2.19M (despite higher growth)
The gap
The Model trajectory generates more ARR with similar burn: same R&D and overhead, expanded commercial muscle. The bridge isn't funding cost increases, it's funding revenue acceleration through targeted commercial hires and pharma frame negotiations.
Quarter-by-quarter Model projection
| Quarter | EoP MRR | ARR | Quarterly revenue | Cumulative revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2025 (actual) | €24,994 | €300K | — | — |
| Q1 2026 (Model) | €40,628 | €488K | €204,830 | €204,830 |
| Q2 2026 (Model) | €58,180 | €698K | €270,819 | €475,649 |
| Q3 2026 (Model) | €68,055 | €817K | €343,920 | €819,569 |
| Q4 2026 (Model) | €84,188 | €1,010K | €432,891 | €1,252,459 |
The trajectory shows a steep acceleration in Q2-Q3 2026, driven by:
- BUPA Europe expansion deals coming online (Lux Med precedent already closed Q3 2025)
- Spanish public health (Telefónica gateway) scale-up
- Pharma multi-year frame conversions reflected in committed revenue
How we get there: the commercial levers
What could go wrong (and the mitigation)
| Scenario | Likelihood | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|
| BUPA Europe rollout slower than projected | Medium | Lux Med deal validated the channel; even 1 additional country deal contributes €100-200K ARR. Spanish public health backstops |
| Pharma frame negotiations stall | Medium | Project revenue continues at current rate; loss is only valuation reclassification, not absolute revenue |
| Sales hires take longer to ramp | Low-Medium | Existing pipeline already supports ~€700K ARR by EoY 2026 with current team; new hires are upside, not dependency |
| Cash runs out before €1M ARR | Low | Bridge size sized to provide 18-24 months of runway at Model burn; even at Budget pace, runway covers to mid-2027 |
If we achieve only 50% of the gap (i.e. €700K ARR EoY 2026 instead of €1.01M), that's still 2.3x current ARR and a credible Series A platform. The bridge isn't binary, it has graceful degradation.
Series A trigger conditions
The bridge will convert (or be repaid) at a future Series A. Conditions for Series A launch:
- ARR ≥ €1M (primary trigger)
- NRR > 110% (sustained net expansion from existing base)
- FDA pre-submission completed (US regulatory catalyst)
- 2+ multi-year pharma frames signed (committed revenue layer materialised)
Reaching all 4 conditions positions Legit.Health for a Series A at €15-20M pre-money range, lead by an international healthtech / clinical AI fund.